●税理士試験の結果について
税理士試験の結果が届きました。
簡潔に伝えると、3教科受けて2教科受かりました。
具体的には簿記論と法人税法が受かりました。法人税法受かってるのは結構良い感じです。
残り3教科受かれば税理士です。
本人結構喜んでます。
現在の勝率は
2勝4敗(33.33・・・%)
あと3回勝つには
3戦で3勝以上の確率・・・ 3.70・・・%
4戦で3勝以上の確率・・・11.11・・・%
5戦で3勝以上・・・
5C3*(1/3)^3*(2/3)^2+5C4*(1/3)^4*(2/3)+5C5*(1/3)^5=
・・・あぁーめんどくさくなってきた。
今年は3教科受けようかな。
そうすると、3%強の確率で税理士に。
一生懸命勉強して6%くらいまで高めれば、どうにか・・・。
ちなみに自己採点と全く逆いってるのが凄い。
たまには自分を褒めてやろう。よくやったー俺!
コメント
おめでと~。
自分にご褒美を与えるべし!
税理士の自己採点はあんまりあてにならないのかねぇ??
Posted by: くみ | 2008年12月14日 17:55
ききたくてききたくてウズウズしてましたが(笑
お め で と う !!! 私も嬉しいです!!!
Posted by: 幾 | 2008年12月14日 20:40
おめでとん(^o^)/
呑みに行こうよ~。
Posted by: けいか | 2008年12月14日 22:30
みなさまどうもありがとうございます。
>おめでとー
しかし、その貴重な言葉は合格の時までとっておきます。腐るもんじゃないので大歓迎ですが(笑)
>ご褒美
自分へのご褒美としてはみかんが届くはずなんだけどな?w
>税理士の自己採点
あてにならんねー。まず自分の解答を手元に残す時間がないのと。配点とかも明らかになってないので、受験生側の分散と仮配点の分散がでかすぎるのだなー。
理系っぽく言ってみた。
>呑み
をー。
今なら、よー喋るぞw
>その他気にして頂いている皆様
昨日のアクセスが40とか多すぎです(笑)
気にして頂いて恐縮です。合格した折には必ずお返し致します。
Posted by: やいだ(みむら) | 2008年12月15日 05:33
有森さんみたいですね/笑
おめでとうございます!
負の二項分布ならここで計算できます(表が便利)
http://keisan.casio.jp/
合格確率39%なら3戦目で6%,5戦目で約3割で税理士に!!
Posted by: 液晶テレビの人 | 2008年12月20日 03:22
をーこのツールはよいねぇ
転記ミスしてたね(汗)
1年(0敗)で税理士になれる確率
3.70%
2年(3敗)で税理士になれる確率
31.96%
3年(6敗)で税理士になれる確率
62.28%
合格確率39%までのばせばいいわけね
O.K.
0.39なら
1年0.059319
2年0.434951229
3年0.74893256
かなりいいねぇ・・・ふふふ
機械と違って人間はのびるからね。
ぐんぐんのびる天まで届けー
背がたけーよ。今度は重力との勝負だな。
篤姫再放送する時に液晶テレビ見に行くね。
Posted by: やいだ(みむら) | 2008年12月21日 10:59
I simply want to tell you that I am newbie to blogging and site-building and seriously enjoyed you're blog site. Most likely I’m planning to bookmark your blog post . You actually have exceptional stories. Thanks a bunch for revealing your web site.
Posted by: check this link right here now | 2015年3月22日 13:35
Awesome post. I’m a normal visitor of your blog and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I will be a regular visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: oris cream | 2015年3月25日 03:59
Awesome post. I’m a normal visitor of your website and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I will be a frequent visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: forum taruhan bola | 2015年3月25日 04:23
I’m not sure where you're getting your information, but great topic. I needs to spend some time learning much more or understanding more. Thanks for excellent information I was looking for this info for my mission.
Posted by: Digital Camera | 2015年3月25日 14:53
Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wished to say that I've truly enjoyed surfing around your blog posts. In any case I’ll be subscribing to your feed and I hope you write again very soon!
Posted by: Business Intelligence | 2015年3月25日 22:35
Awesome write-up. I’m a normal visitor of your site and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the nice site. I'll be a frequent visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: jadwal motogp | 2015年3月26日 06:13
I have been surfing online more than three hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours. It’s pretty worth enough for me. In my opinion, if all web owners and bloggers made good content as you did, the net will be a lot more useful than ever before.
Posted by: Skin Care Products | 2015年3月27日 23:55
Hey There. I found your blog using msn. This is an extremely well written article. I’ll be sure to bookmark it and come back to read more of your useful information. Thanks for the post. I’ll certainly return.
Posted by: Fiona Dupray | 2015年3月28日 00:26
Oh my goodness! Impressive article dude! Thank you, However I am having issues with your RSS. I don’t understand the reason why I cannot subscribe to it. Is there anybody else getting the same RSS problems? Anybody who knows the solution will you kindly respond? Thanx!!
Posted by: pay day loans | 2015年3月30日 16:37
Awesome post. I’m a regular visitor of your site and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the nice site. I will be a frequent visitor for a long time.
Posted by: buy tongkat ali extract | 2015年3月31日 06:43
Hi, i think that i saw you visited my website thus i came to “return the favor”.I'm attempting to find things to enhance my website!I suppose its ok to use some of your ideas!!
Posted by: Website Builder | 2015年3月31日 16:51
Awesome write-up. I’m a regular visitor of your website and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the nice site. I'll be a regular visitor for a long time.
Posted by: free xbox live gold codes | 2015年3月31日 18:06
Awesome post. I’m a regular visitor of your web site and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the nice site. I will be a frequent visitor for a long time.
Posted by: small garden ideas | 2015年4月 1日 07:36
Awesome write-up. I’m a regular visitor of your blog and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I'll be a regular visitor for a long time.
Posted by: Health and Beauty | 2015年4月 1日 08:27
That is a good tip especially to those new to the blogosphere. Brief but very accurate info… Thank you for sharing this one. A must read post!
Posted by: kickyouridea | 2015年4月 1日 17:05
Awesome post. I’m a regular visitor of your site and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I'll be a regular visitor for a long time.
Posted by: harga samsung galaxy s6 | 2015年4月 2日 13:16
Awesome post. I’m a normal visitor of your website and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the nice site. I'll be a regular visitor for a long time.
Posted by: garage lift storage | 2015年4月 3日 01:29
Hey There. I found your blog using msn. This is a very well written article. I’ll make sure to bookmark it and return to read more of your useful information. Thanks for the post. I will definitely return.
Posted by: Wireless Webcam | 2015年4月 3日 02:49
Awesome post. I’m a normal visitor of your web site and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I'll be a regular visitor for a long time.
Posted by: Healthy Tips | 2015年4月 3日 20:51
Awesome post. I’m a regular visitor of your blog and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the nice site. I'll be a regular visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: software terbaru | 2015年4月 3日 23:48
I've been absent for some time lotopyeer, but now I remember why I used to love this blog. Thanks , I’ll try and check back more often. How frequently you update your site?
Posted by: Ilonn Hotel Poznan | 2015年4月 4日 12:45
Awesome post. I’m a normal visitor of your website and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I'll be a frequent visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: toko fashion online murah dan berkualitas | 2015年4月 5日 16:09
Hi, i think that i saw you visited my weblog so i came to “return the favor”.I am trying to find things to enhance my web site!I suppose its ok to use a few of your ideas!!
Posted by: cheap auto parts | 2015年4月 6日 04:23
Spot on with this write-up, I truly think this web site needs much more consideration. I’ll probably be again to learn way more, thanks for that info.
Posted by: meja vip | 2015年4月 6日 05:39
I wanted to thank you for this fantastic read!! I absolutely loved every little bit of it. I have you bookmarked to look at new things you post…
Posted by: buy oxiracatm | 2015年4月 6日 20:28
It’s hard to find knowledgeable people for this subject, but you seem like you know what you’re talking about! Thanks
Posted by: buy adrafinil | 2015年4月 7日 06:22
I don’t even know how I ended up here, but I thought this post was good. I do not know who you are but certainly you are going to a famous blogger if you aren't already ;) Cheers!
Posted by: SEO Marketing | 2015年4月 7日 20:07
Awesome write-up. I’m a normal visitor of your website and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I'll be a frequent visitor for a long time.
Posted by: exterior house paint color ideas | 2015年4月 8日 14:52
Awesome post. I’m a normal visitor of your blog and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I'll be a frequent visitor for a long time.
Posted by: krim sari pemutih | 2015年4月 8日 22:01
I found your weblog site on google and verify just a few of your early posts. Continue to maintain up the very good operate. I simply additional up your RSS feed to my MSN Information Reader. Seeking forward to studying extra from you later on!…
Posted by: Harga DVR Samsung | 2015年4月 9日 14:39
Awesome write-up. I’m a regular visitor of your website and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I will be a frequent visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: Sewa mobil bengkulu | 2015年4月10日 14:47
Hi, i think that i saw you visited my blog thus i came to “return the favor”.I’m trying to find things to improve my site!I suppose its ok to use a few of your ideas!!
Posted by: homepage | 2015年4月10日 23:14
Hey there, You have done a great job. I’ll certainly digg it and personally recommend to my friends. I am confident they'll be benefited from this website.
Posted by: Cortez Tobia | 2015年4月11日 13:39
This is the right blog for anyone who desires to search out out about this topic. You notice so much its virtually onerous to argue with you (not that I truly would want…HaHa). You positively put a brand new spin on a subject thats been written about for years. Nice stuff, simply nice!
Posted by: Tod Jutras | 2015年4月13日 07:18
It’s difficult to find experienced people in this particular topic, but you sound like you know what you’re talking about! Thanks
Posted by: guestcrew | 2015年4月13日 07:26
Awesome write-up. I’m a normal visitor of your website and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the nice site. I'll be a frequent visitor for a long time.
Posted by: online home design | 2015年4月13日 09:25
Pretty section of content lotopyeer. I just stumbled upon your blog and in accession capital to assert that I get actually enjoyed account your blog posts. Any way I’ll be subscribing to your feeds and even I achievement you access consistently quickly.
Posted by: zobacz tutaj | 2015年4月14日 01:10
Pretty section of content. I just stumbled upon your web site and in accession capital to assert that I get actually enjoyed account your blog posts. Anyway I’ll be subscribing to your feeds and even I achievement you access consistently quickly.
Posted by: cheap travel packages | 2015年4月14日 05:44
Awesome post. I’m a regular visitor of your blog and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I'll be a regular visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: belajar ms excel | 2015年4月15日 00:05
Awesome write-up. I’m a normal visitor of your site and appreciate you taking the time to maintain the excellent site. I will be a regular visitor for a really long time.
Posted by: kode undangan whaff | 2015年4月15日 08:00
I don’t even know how I ended up here, but I thought this post was good. I do not know who you are but certainly you're going to a famous blogger if you are not already ;) Cheers!
Posted by: online car insurance | 2015年4月15日 20:01